03/09/2026
What could climate change mean for Japanese encephalitis in Australia?
Japanese encephalitis (JEV) is a mosquito-borne disease that became a major concern in Australia following outbreaks in southern states in 2022.
But how might climate change affect the animals and mosquitoes involved in the JEV cycle?
New research from our member Roslyn Hickson has mapped the likely distribution of mosquitoes, waterbirds and feral pigs across Australia and explored how these patterns could change by 2050 and 2090 under different climate scenarios.
The key findings:
- Areas currently considered suitable for the JEV cycle are likely to remain important in the future, particularly along parts of Australia's northern and eastern coastlines.
- The study also identified potential increases in suitability in some northern areas and decreases in parts of southern and western Australia.
The findings highlight why continued surveillance — and a One Health approach that considers people, animals and the environment together — will be important as Australia's climate changes.
Read the full paper: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1574954126003067?pes=vor&utm_source=scopus&getft_integrator=scopus